Replay · AL142021
Nicholas: the story
Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC · 22 NHC advisories. Radar, warnings, storm reports, ground stops and SEC filings, in order, with 171 links that show their evidence.
- 820 NWS warnings
- 417 storm reports
- 13 FAA airport programs
- 2 8-Ks naming Nicholas
- 171 rule-based links
- 448 radar frames, 10 min apart
Chapter 1: Approach
Sep 12–13
- The replay opens on the first NHC advisory.Replay from here
Chapter 2: Landfall
Sep 13–14
- Nicholas makes landfall the eastern portion of the Matagorda Peninsula, Texas as a category 1 hurricane (65 kt, 991 mb).Replay from hereNHC Tropical Cyclone Report: Hurricane NicholasNHC best track (HURDAT2)
Chapter 3: Inland
Sep 14–15
The replay window ends before the storm dissipates.
Chapter 4: Aftermath
Sep 15–Oct 21
- The replay window ends before the storm dissipates.Replay from here
- First 8-K naming Nicholas.
“Celanese Corp filed an 8-K on 2021-10-21 naming Hurricane Nicholas”
Replay from hereWhy linked - The aftermath: 2 8-Ks name Nicholas after the storm, the last on 2021-10-21.Replay from here
How we link records
| Rule | What it checks | Links |
|---|---|---|
| R4 solid | A storm report inside a warning polygon while it was in effect | 163 |
| R3 solid | An SEC 8-K that names the storm | 2 |
| R2 dashed | An airport program inside a warning that had been in effect for over 60 min (context) | 2 |
| R1c solid | A weather airport program inside a convective warning or watch, within 60 min of issuance | 3 |
| R1o dashed | The same, for other hazards such as floods | 1 |
Solid lines mark rules that passed an independent check; dashed lines are context. Links are rule-based facts: each shows two records that overlap in place and time. How we know
Where this storm's data comes from
Every layer, the provider behind it and the period it covers.
| Layer | Provider | Period | Records |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMS SeamlessHSR | NOAA/NSSL via Iowa Environmental Mesonet | Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC | 448 |
| NWS storm-based warning polygons | NOAA National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet | Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC | 820 |
| NWS Local Storm Reports | NOAA National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet | Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC | 417 |
| NHC advisories and best track | NOAA National Hurricane Center | Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC | 22 |
| FAA airport programs (ground stops and ground delay programs) | FAA Air Traffic Control System Command Center | Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC | 13 |
| SEC EDGAR 8-K filings | U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission | Sep 12, 15:00 UTC – Sep 15, 17:30 UTC | 2 |
- Radar: NOAA/NSSL MRMS SeamlessHSR, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM), Iowa State University
- Warnings: NOAA/NWS, storm-based polygons via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet
- Storm reports: NOAA/NWS Local Storm Reports via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet
- Advisories and best track: NOAA/National Hurricane Center
- Airport programs: FAA Air Traffic Control System Command Center
- Filings: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR
