Replay · TO20230331
March 31, 2023 tornado outbreak: the story
Mar 31, 18:00 UTC – Apr 1, 11:00 UTC. Radar, severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings, storm reports and ground stops, in order, with 812 links that show their evidence.
- 810 NWS warnings
- 1,263 storm reports
- 4 FAA airport programs
- 130 surveyed tornado tracks
- 812 rule-based links
- 109,222 customers out at the peak, in Illinois
- 511 radar frames
Chapter 1: First warnings
Mar 31
- NWS Little Rock, AR issues the first Tornado Warning.Replay from here
Chapter 2: Little Rock
Mar 31
- NWS Little Rock, AR declares a tornado emergency.Replay from here
Chapter 3: The EF4
Mar 31
- The strongest tornado, an EF4, touches down: a 20 mi track.Replay from here
- The largest hail reported: 3.5 in at 2 NNE Beverly, IL.Replay from here
Chapter 4: Into the night
Mar 31–Apr 1
- NWS Memphis, TN declares a tornado emergency.Replay from here
- The strongest measured gust: 83 mph at 4 SSW Paw Paw, IL.Replay from here
- Peak outages: 109,222 customers out of power in Illinois. The most in one county: Pulaski County, AR, 62,194 out (25% of its customers) at 20:45 UTC on Mar 31.Replay from here
How we link records
| Rule | What it checks | Links |
|---|---|---|
| R4 solid | A storm report inside a warning polygon while it was in effect | 756 |
| R6 solid | A surveyed tornado track that began inside a Tornado Warning, with the warning's lead time | 46 |
| R2 dashed | An airport program inside a warning that had been in effect for over 60 min (context) | 5 |
| R1c solid | A weather airport program inside a convective warning or watch, within 60 min of issuance | 3 |
| R1o dashed | The same, for other hazards such as floods | 2 |
Solid lines mark rules that passed an independent check; dashed lines are context. Links are rule-based facts: each shows two records that overlap in place and time. How we know
Where this storm's data comes from
Every layer, the provider behind it and the period it covers.
| Layer | Provider | Period | Records |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMS SeamlessHSR | NOAA/NSSL via Iowa Environmental Mesonet | Mar 31, 18:00 UTC – Apr 1, 11:00 UTC | 511 |
| NWS storm-based warning polygons | NOAA National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet | Mar 31, 18:00 UTC – Apr 1, 11:00 UTC | 810 |
| NWS Local Storm Reports | NOAA National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet | Mar 31, 18:00 UTC – Apr 1, 11:00 UTC | 1,263 |
| FAA airport programs (ground stops and ground delay programs) | FAA Air Traffic Control System Command Center | Mar 31, 18:00 UTC – Apr 1, 11:00 UTC | 4 |
| ORNL EAGLE-I | Oak Ridge National Laboratory | Mar 31, 18:00 UTC – Apr 1, 11:00 UTC | 878 |
- Radar: NOAA/NSSL MRMS SeamlessHSR, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM), Iowa State University
- Warnings: NOAA/NWS, storm-based polygons via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet
- Storm reports: NOAA/NWS Local Storm Reports via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet
- Airport programs: FAA Air Traffic Control System Command Center
- Tornado tracks: NOAA/NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit damage surveys
- Power outages: Oak Ridge National Laboratory, EAGLE-I (CC BY 4.0)
- County boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau
